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The U.S. will unleash the three arrows of employment, CPI, and rebalancing of indexes, making liquidity the focus of the week.
BlockBeats News, December 15th - This week the market is at high risk, with a series of delayed economic data releases and a full-market index rebalance that could trigger market volatility. The US will release the November jobs report and key inflation readings this week, which could either support or challenge the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook for the new year. Federal Reserve officials cut rates for the third consecutive time last week, implying that with rates nearing a neutral level, they may have an open stance to cut rates once again next year.
This week, the US will also release the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Economists surveyed by the WSJ expect the index to rise by 3.1% year-on-year. Farzin Azarm, Managing Director of Stock Trading at Mizuho Securities USA, stated that the most important market event this week is what he described as "one of the largest annual settlements."
Specifically, the quarterly index rebalancing of the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index will take place on Friday, during which index providers will adjust the components and weights of their benchmark indices to ensure they continue to represent the tracked markets. The US stock market saw significant declines last Friday. According to FactSet data, the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.6% last week, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.1%.
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