Coinbase stock target cut after weak Q1 performance, Deribit deal praised: analyst
By: cryptosheadlines|2025/05/09 15:45:04
0
Share
Airdrop Is Live CaryptosHeadlines Media Has Launched Its Native Token CHT. Airdrop Is Live For Everyone, Claim Instant 5000 CHT Tokens Worth Of $50 USDT. Join the Airdrop at the official website, CryptosHeadlinesToken.com Coinbase expanded its global footprint in the crypto derivatives market with the acquisition of Deribit but the company’s Q1 report prompted a Wall Street analyst to revise his target lower.In a note to clients on Friday, H.C. Wainwright analyst Mike Colonnese provided a detailed breakdown of Coinbase’s acquisition, earnings performance, and updated his outlook on the stock’s valuation.Coinbase to acquire Deribit in $2.9b dealIn the largest crypto M&A deal to date, Coinbase announced plans to acquire Deribit for $2.9 billion, consisting of $700 million in cash and 11 million shares of Coinbase stock. Deribit is the world’s largest crypto options exchange with a 75% market share and over $30 billion in open interest. Analyst Mike Colonnese sees the deal as a strong strategic fit, immediately making Coinbase the leading global crypto derivatives platform, while accelerating its international expansion and boosting cross-sell potential with spot and futures trading. Deribit is expected to be accretive to profitability, given its consistent positive EBITDA track record.Q1 2025 earnings recapCoinbase reported Q1 revenue of $2.03 billion, slightly below expectations, with trading volumes falling 10% quarter-over-quarter to $393 billion. Retail volumes dropped 17%, while institutional volumes declined 9%. Transaction revenue came in at $1.26 billion, down 19% sequentially and short of consensus. Despite weaker transaction revenue, subscription and services revenue hit a record $698.1 million, up 9% quarter-over-quarter, driven by strong growth in USDC holdings and Coinbase One subscriptions. Adjusted EBITDA was $929.9 million (47.4% margin), below Q4’s $1.29 billion, while adjusted EPS was $1.94, in line with consensus. Price target revised lower despite clear catalysts for growthDespite what the analyst describes as a “monumental” Deribit acquisition, Colonnese revised his 2025 and 2026 revenue estimates downward to $7.4 billion and $9.5 billion, respectively, citing weaker-than-expected transaction volumes. He also lowered his adjusted EPS forecasts to $5.92 and $12.11, with a price target lowered to $305 from $350. Still, the analyst remains optimistic about Coinbase’s long-term outlook, particularly as the regulatory environment evolves.“We believe greater regulatory clarity for crypto in the U.S., specifically as it relates to formal stablecoin and market structure legislation, which we could see this year, will prove to be a major tailwind for Coinbase, and will drive an acceleration of institutional participation into the space,” Colonnese wrote.In addition, more than 200 firms including BlackRock and PayPal already rely on Coinbase’s infrastructure and more tarditional finance institutions will find it beneficial “to seek out” Coinbase’s products and services rather than build their own.As such, “the stars are aligning for an extended bull market for crypto over the next 12 to 18 months,” the analyst wrote. Source link
You may also like
BTC Challenges 64,000 After Breaking 63,000, Market Trading 'Manageable Risks'
As the Bubble Bursts, Who Dominates Attention in the AI Era? A 2026 Guide to Influential AI KOLs in China and the UK
Old Money in Crypto Shifts: Paradigm Raises $1.2 Billion, Half Bet on AI and Robotics
Bitdeer unveils $36M Nevada factory to shake up Bitcoin mining
Perplexity Fine-Tuned a Chinese AI Model to Match Claude Opus 4.8 at One-Third the Cost
Bank of Korea defends bank-first stablecoin plan amid bill deadlock
JPMorgan says bitcoin's main risk isn't Strategy, but blockchain adoption that doesn't benefit public chains and tokens
Fear & Greed Index Today: What Extreme Fear Means for Crypto, Stocks and Gold
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has fallen to Extreme Fear as Tesla, Intel and the Nasdaq declined. See what it means for traders and explore stocks, crude oil and gold in the WEEX TradFi Trading Challenge.
Labour MPs Push to Make UK Crypto Donation Ban Permanent
Supreme Court ruling expanding Trump's authority over federal agencies raises questions for SEC, CFTC as crypto rulemaking advances
'Bottom building in progress': Analysts say bitcoin holder capitulation signals late-stage bear market
A Comprehensive Analysis: Starting from 1996, Who is Laying the Foundation for the Next Generation of Capital Markets
Luke Dashjr, the Biggest Anti-Spammer of Bitcoin, Inscribed Phrases on the Network in 2011
Whales bought 270,000 BTC while ETFs bled $7 billion. One side is wrong
The crypto IPO class of 2025-26 is down as much as 89%. Autopsy of a listing boom
Robinhood Chain Mining Guide: A Comprehensive Tutorial from Cross-Chain to Memecoin
BitGo CEO says single-digit percentages of bitcoin's supply are 'probably right' for large holders amid Strategy's sale
Beyond Private Keys: How to Safeguard the Security Boundaries of Web3 from Wallets, L2 to Supply Chains?
BTC Challenges 64,000 After Breaking 63,000, Market Trading 'Manageable Risks'
As the Bubble Bursts, Who Dominates Attention in the AI Era? A 2026 Guide to Influential AI KOLs in China and the UK
Old Money in Crypto Shifts: Paradigm Raises $1.2 Billion, Half Bet on AI and Robotics
Bitdeer unveils $36M Nevada factory to shake up Bitcoin mining
Perplexity Fine-Tuned a Chinese AI Model to Match Claude Opus 4.8 at One-Third the Cost
Bank of Korea defends bank-first stablecoin plan amid bill deadlock
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com


